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Topic: forecasting

Traders on an exchange floor
Markets
Saturday, 6/27, 02:45 AM

What Is a Prediction Market, and How Does It Actually Work?

  • Platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi let people trade contracts tied to real-world events, turning prices into live probability estimates.
  • They can forecast surprisingly well — but thin liquidity, manipulation and unsettled regulation are real limits.

forecasting — news and stories on this topic

This page collects all of Boursel's coverage of forecasting. Follow the topic from one place: new stories appear here automatically as more is published. That way you stay on top of how the situation develops.

Looking for the bigger picture? Browse markets, the economy, companies and crypto, or head back to the front page for the day's top stories.